Match Info

Primera B - Round 38

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Juan Antonio Arias Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Liniers		Excursionistas

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.00	1.90
	3.75	3.10	1.85	Watch
	4.09	3.07	1.94
	3.91	3.06	1.96	Watch
	3.90	3.00	1.92
	4.08	3.25	1.94
	3.70	3.00	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↓ (4.54)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	1.92 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liniers
23.3%

Draw
29.5%

Excursionistas
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

28.9%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

28.2%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liniers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Excursionistas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liniers - Excursionistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rotundo M. (G) 3. Fiordeliso M. 4. Di Motta R. 6. Bouvier J. 2. Rodon F. 5. Palacio S. 8. Penoni A. 10. Gallegos E. 11. Fernandez G. 7. Coria T. 9. Rodriguez C.	1. Rodriguez N. (G) 2. Fernandez M. 4. Pedrosa G. 6. Arango M. 3. Paulides A. 5. Zoratti G. 8. Avalos A. 11. Alaniz M. 10. Espeche A. 7. Damiolini N. 9. Tellas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Di Motta R. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th and 1st in the Promotion - Primera Nacional).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liniers won 1.

Liniers has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Excursionistas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Excursionistas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Excursionistas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Liniers has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:13 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Liniers against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 3:4 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
17	Liniers	38	10	13	15	31:39	-8	43

Last Results with these Odds

Excursionistas - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 51.35%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera B
26.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Liniers	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Liniers - Argentino de Merlo	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Liniers	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Liniers - Deportivo Laferrere	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Brown de Adrogué - Liniers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWTT
- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
25.09.26	Excursionistas - Real Pilar	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	UAI Urquiza - Excursionistas	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Excursionistas - Villa Dálmine	3:0 ✺
07.09.26	Excursionistas - Ituzaingó	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Excursionistas	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
22.05.26	Excursionistas - Liniers	4:1
12.10.25	Liniers - Excursionistas	1:0
11.06.25	Excursionistas - Liniers	1:0
29.06.24	Excursionistas - Liniers	0:0
13.02.24	Liniers - Excursionistas	0:1
Argentinian Primera C
05.06.23	Excursionistas - Liniers	3:0
28.01.23	Liniers - Excursionistas	2:1

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