The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa Dálmine 55.3%
Draw 28.1%
UAI Urquiza 16.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.7%
28.1%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
22.5%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Dálmine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Dálmine that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UAI Urquiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Villa Dálmine - UAI Urquiza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 8. Garzino F. 3. Nievas A. 5. Nizzo M. 11. Oro P. 10. Prim S. 7. Solis M. 9. Torres G.
1. Viain I. (G) 5. Arcuri L. 10. Asprea T. 3. Caceres A. 2. Ciancio V. 7. Galli F. 8. Ibanez E. 9. Marin A. 6. Monzon S. 11. Pesse V. 4. Rodriguez V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Monzon S. 🟨,
40', Prim S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nizzo M. ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
63', Garzino F. 🟨,
70', Garzino F. ↓, Gargiulo V. ↑,
70', Torres G. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
76', Oro P. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,
78', Galli F. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
80', Nievas A. ↓, Resquin G. ↑,
84', Galli F. ↓, Ciancio V. ↑,
86', 🟨,
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 21st in the Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Dálmine won 1.
In recent outings, Villa Dálmine has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
UAI Urquiza has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Villa Dálmine for this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Villa Dálmine has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.3:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villa Dálmine against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:1 goals (averaging 0.7:0.3 per game).
Argentina
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Rojas J. (G) 
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