Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 9

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Broggi J. (Arg)


	Villa Dálmine		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.35
	3.1	3	2.35
	3.39	2.91	2.47
	3.2	2.75	2.35
	3.3	2.94	2.42
	3.05	3	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.77)	2.95 ↓ (3.03)	2.4 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
29.5%

Draw
31.6%

Quilmes
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.7%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.1%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Villa Dálmine - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Quilmes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Dálmine won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.03.23	Gimnasia Jujuy - Villa Dálmine	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Villa Dálmine - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:0 ✺
20.03.23	Deportivo Riestra - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Villa Dálmine - Racing de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.04.23	Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Quilmes - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Brown de Adrogué - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
05.03.23	Quilmes - Aldosivi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.22	Villa Dálmine - Quilmes	2:0
02.11.19	Quilmes - Villa Dálmine	1:2
20.10.18	Villa Dálmine - Quilmes	1:1
23.09.17	Quilmes - Villa Dálmine	1:0

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