The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa Dálmine 51.4%
Draw 29.9%
Villa San Carlos 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
28.4%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
20.6%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Dálmine's form might have worsened.
Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Dálmine that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Villa Dálmine - Villa San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rojas J. (G) 6. Agorreca N. 11. Brandan L. 2. Broggi C. 4. Gamba L. 8. Garzino F. 3. Martinez D. 7. Morales M. 9. Oro P. 10. Prim S. (C) 5. Solis M.
1. Akimenco T. (G) 5. Acosta A. 8. Cairo F. 11. Canete S. 4. Farias F. 3. Flores S. 6. Lloyaiy A. 7. Lugones A. 2. Machin L. (C) 9. Pavia K. 10. Ponton A.
Substitutes
13. Amicone A. 14. Britos M. 17. Carlucci V. 12. Friedrich G. (G) 15. Nizzo M. 16. Ramon E. 18. Roldan S. 19. Schultz E. 20. Torres G.
12. Bangardino P. (G) 14. Fabi S. 15. Guallama F. 13. Martinez A. 16. Mussis F. 19. Plastino M. 18. Salinas R. 20. Villagra J. 17. Zegarra Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Broggi C. 🟨,
61', Gamba L. 🟨,
62', Garzino F. ↓, Roldan S. ↑,
63', Akimenco T. ↓, Bangardino P. ↑,
70', Oro P. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
72', Pavia K. ↓, Plastino M. ↑,
73', Lugones A. ↓, Zegarra Z. ↑,
81', Cairo F. ↓, Guallama F. ↑,
81', Canete S. ↓, Villagra J. ↑,
82', Prim S. ↓, Ramon E. ↑,
82', Brandan L. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,
90+2', Plastino M. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
Villa Dálmine has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Villa San Carlos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Villa Dálmine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Villa Dálmine has had a series of away games.
In this match, Villa Dálmine is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Villa Dálmine won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Villa Dálmine won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Watch
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