Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Obdulio Varela (Montevideo)


	Villa Española		Progreso

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.25	3.05	2.1
	3.15	3.05	2.15
	3.33	3.16	2.17
	3.25	3.2	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.16)	3.09 ↓ (3.19)	2.14 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Villa Española
28.1%

Draw
29.4%

Progreso
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

29.2%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

30.2%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Villa Española - Progreso Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Villa Española will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Progreso will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Progreso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Villa Española have a series of guest games.

Progreso will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.07.22	Rampla Juniors - Villa Española	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
20.07.22	Quilmes - Villa Española	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.06.22	Racing Montevideo - Villa Española	3:2 ✺
22.06.22	Villa Española - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:1 ✺
19.06.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Villa Española	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLTW
- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
23.07.22	Progreso - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
25.06.22	Progreso - Central Español	1:1 ✺
22.06.22	Sud América - Progreso	1:1 ✺
18.06.22	Progreso - Cerro	0:0 ✺
10.06.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Progreso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.05.22	Progreso - Villa Española	2:0
02.04.22	Villa Española - Progreso	1:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.09.21	Progreso - Villa Española	1:1
15.05.21	Villa Española - Progreso	0:0

Upcoming Matches