Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo)

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Progreso		Central Español

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	4	Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.9
	1.92	3.1	4.05
	1.95	3.22	4.49
	1.95	3.11	4.35	Watch
	1.91	3	4.2
	1.93	3.13	4.31	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	4.2 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
48.4%

Draw
29.5%

Central Español
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27.5%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Progreso - Central Español Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mehring A. (G) 2. Cardozo Coitinho S. 13. Carroso H. 8. Colombino A. 40. Cougo A. 17. De Leon F. 29. Fernandez N. 10. Lemmo I. 5. Pinheiro A. 93. Sanchez D. 16. Trasante G.	39. Rodolfo (G) 30. Alonso M. 8. Camarda F. 3. Dupont J. 17. Fernandez L. 24. Gandolfo G. 7. Munoz F. 4. Pena A. 13. Ponce L. 9. Tarragona R. 14. Villoldo A.
Substitutes
23. Copelotti M. 7. Fernandez F. 6. Kidd F. 11. Lopez N. 15. Martin M. 4. Paolini M. 33. Requena A. (G) 21. Rivero J. 18. Silva G. 19. Silva J.	28. Campos N. 15. Cantera M. 11. Gandulfo L. 23. Gonella I. 1. Marquez E. (G) . Mendez I. 10. Muniz R. 27. Sosa F. 21. Wasilewsky L. 18. Yocco F.
Coaches
Rocco L.	de Ambrosio P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Tarragona R. (Penalty Awarded),
6', Trasante G. 🟨,
18', 0 - 2, Montiel M. ⚽,
45', Carroso H. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Alonso M. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
59', Montiel M. ↓, Muniz R. ↑,
60', De Leon F. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
60', Colombino A. ↓, Copelotti M. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Camarda F. ⚽,
63', Munoz F. 🟨,
63', Fernandez N. 🟨,
66', Pinheiro A. 🟥,
68', Munoz F. ↓, Wasilewsky L. ↑,
68', Tarragona R. ↓, Campos N. ↑,
70', Lemmo I. 🟨,
73', Trasante G. ↓, Paolini M. ↑,
73', Lemmo I. ↓, Martin M. ↑,
73', Sanchez D. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
76', Martin M. 🟨,
77', Camarda F. ↓, Yocco F. ↑,
86', Dupont J. 🟨,

Preview

Progreso is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Central Español may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Progreso has had a series of away games.

In this match, Progreso is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Progreso	9	4	0	5	9:12	-3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
29.01.26	Boston River - Progreso	1:2 ✺
22.01.26	Nacional Montevideo - Progreso	1:2 penalties ✺
18.01.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	0:1 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
15.01.26	Progreso - Atlético Tucumán	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
11.01.26	Defensor Sporting - Progreso	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WWWLW
- Central Español
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
12.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Central Español	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.25	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Central Español - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Rampla Juniors - Central Español	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Central Español - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.09.22	Central Español - Progreso	1:1
25.06.22	Progreso - Central Español	1:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.04.13	Central Español - Progreso	1:0
04.11.12	Progreso - Central Español	1:0

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