Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Atenas de San Carlos		Progreso

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	1.98
	3.6	3.1	2
	3.92	2.96	2
	3.92	2.97	2
	3.75	3.13	1.94
	3.8	3.1	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.53)	3.04 ↑ (3.03)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atenas de San Carlos
24.2%

Draw
29.8%

Progreso
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

29.7%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

29.5%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atenas de San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atenas de San Carlos than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Atenas de San Carlos - Progreso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atenas won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Progreso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Progreso will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Atenas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Atenas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atenas de San Carlos
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.11.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
06.11.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Liverpool Montevideo	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.11.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
25.10.23	Sud América - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Atenas de San Carlos - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLTWL
- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.11.23	Progreso - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	Oriental de La Paz - Progreso	0:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Progreso - Montevideo City Torque	1:2 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.23	Progreso - Cerrito	4:2 ✺
22.10.23	Potencia - Progreso	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.06.23	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	3:1
10.03.23	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	5:0
03.09.22	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0
10.06.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Progreso	1:0
10.04.22	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.11.18	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	5:0
31.05.18	Progreso - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1

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