Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Obdulio Varela (Montevideo)


	Villa Española		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	4	3.1	1.83	Watch
	4.25	2.95	1.85
	4.1	3.05	1.85
	4.15	3.13	1.93
	4	3.3	1.83
	3.96	3.2	1.87	Watch
	4.2	3.15	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (6.3)	3.13 ↓ (3.5)	1.86 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Española
22.2%

Draw
29%

Racing Montevideo
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.3%

25.8%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

28.6%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Española's performance.

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Española that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Villa Española - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Villa Española will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Racing will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villa Española: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Villa Española could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villa Española won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.09.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Villa Española	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Villa Española - Uruguay Montevideo	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Villa Española - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
28.08.22	Central Español - Villa Española	2:0 ✺
24.08.22	Villa Española - Sud América	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLW
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.09.22	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	0:2 ✺
10.09.22	Central Español - Racing Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
07.09.22	Racing Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
02.09.22	Racing Montevideo - Sud América	4:2 ✺
28.08.22	Cerro - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.06.22	Racing Montevideo - Villa Española	3:2
20.11.20	Villa Española - Racing Montevideo	0:2
21.09.20	Racing Montevideo - Villa Española	2:3
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.10.16	Villa Española - Racing Montevideo	1:1

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