Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Roberto (Montevideo)

Referee: Modernell F. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter


	Racing Montevideo		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4	Watch
	1.87	3.4	3.75
	1.9	3.35	3.9	Watch
	1.88	3.55	4.6
	1.91	3.36	4.08	Watch
	1.91	3.2	4
	1.89	3.36	4.12	Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.07)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	4.04 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
49.3%

Draw
27.6%

Miramar Misiones
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.1%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Montevideo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Amade L. (G) 4. Cotugno G. 3. Bueno G. (C) 17. Ferreira M. 16. Da Silva E. 6. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 10. Rodriguez L. 26. Bosca J. 15. Caceres M. 33. Sosa S. 77. Tomatis B.	1. Giossa L. (G) 19. Olivera A. 29. Ayala J. 4. Lopez P. 16. Gomez M. (C) 22. Diaz O. 13. Sanchez C. 32. Fernandez M. 25. Olivera D. 9. Douglas J. 7. Yepez I.
Substitutes
29. De Lima E. 21. Fonseca M. 12. Machado F. (G) 34. Pereira A. 19. Pinela M. 18. Ramirez S. 43. Rodriguez A. 30. Scarone A. 22. Severo A. 11. Viudez P.	15. Alonso F. 31. Da Silva S. 12. Gonzalez L. (G) 18. Hurtado B. 23. Nunez D. 21. Rodriguez A. 24. Silvera F. 27. Siri E. 5. Sosa E. 20. Viana L.
Coaches
Chambian C.	Peralta H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Rodriguez L. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
58', Olivera D. ↓, Da Silva S. ↑,
58', Douglas J. ↓, Silvera F. ↑,
65', Sanchez C. ↓, Sosa E. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Tomatis B. ⚽,
76', Tomatis B. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
76', Da Silva E. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
80', Sosa E. 🟨,
84', Lopez P. ↓, Siri E. ↑,
84', Diaz O. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Sosa E. ⚽,
90+2', Yepez I. 🟨,
90+5', Ramirez S. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Racing is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Racing Montevideo - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
08.05.25	Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.25	Danubio - Racing Montevideo	0:0 ✺
28.04.25	Racing Montevideo - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Corinthians - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLTTL
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.05.25	Miramar Misiones - River Plate Montevideo	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Boston River - Miramar Misiones	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Miramar Misiones - Nacional Montevideo	1:3 ✺
12.04.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	4:2 ✺
06.04.25	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo City Torque	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
13.10.24	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	2:2
06.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.09.22	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	0:2
22.06.22	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	1:1
17.04.22	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.02.14	Miramar Misiones - Racing Montevideo	0:2
24.08.13	Racing Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	5:0

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