Match Info

Date: 24 September 2021, Friday


	Plaza Colonia		Villa Española

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.51	3.9	6
	1.55	3.65	5.3
	1.57	3.55	5.6
	1.63	3.81	6.22
	1.52	3.6	6
	1.6	3.7	5.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)	3.72 ↓ (4.14)	5.73 ↓ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Plaza Colonia
59.1%

Draw
24.8%

Villa Española
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

22.3%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.1%

18.3%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Villa Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Plaza Colonia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-3%)

Plaza Colonia - Villa Española Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).

Recent matches Plaza Colonia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Española is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Plaza Colonia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Plaza Colonia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Primera Division
19.09.21	Montevideo City Torque - Plaza Colonia	2:2 ✺
12.09.21	Plaza Colonia - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
22.08.21	Plaza Colonia - Rentistas	2:0 ✺
15.08.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Plaza Colonia	0:2 ✺
09.08.21	Plaza Colonia - Boston River	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWWT
- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.09.21	Villa Española - Sud América	1:2 ✺
13.09.21	Progreso - Villa Española	1:1 ✺
22.08.21	Cerro Largo - Villa Española	3:1 ✺
15.08.21	Villa Española - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
08.08.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Villa Española	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
29.05.21	Villa Española - Plaza Colonia	1:3
18.09.16	Villa Española - Plaza Colonia	2:4

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