Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Villa Mitre		Sportivo Peñarol

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.25	5.5
	1.65	3.2	4.95
	1.57	3.25	6
	1.47	3.41	7.16
	1.52	3.32	7.1
	1.6	3.35	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.86)	3.3 ↑ (2.87)	6.15 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
57.8%

Draw
27.5%

Sportivo Peñarol
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

31.4%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

30.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Mitre's performance.

Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Peñarol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Mitre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Villa Mitre - Sportivo Peñarol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Villa Mitre is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villa Mitre won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Mitre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.10.22	Ferro Gen.Pico - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Villa Mitre - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:1 ✺
24.09.22	CA Liniers - Villa Mitre	2:0 ✺
18.09.22	Villa Mitre - Círculo Deportivo	2:2 ✺
11.09.22	Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTT
- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.10.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Ciudad de Bolívar	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Sansinena - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0 ✺
25.09.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Huracán Las Heras	1:0 ✺
21.09.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Sol de Mayo	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.07.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Villa Mitre	0:1
29.08.21	Villa Mitre - Sportivo Peñarol	2:2
09.05.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Villa Mitre	1:1
07.12.19	Villa Mitre - Sportivo Peñarol	2:0

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