Match Info

Date: 27 October 2020, Tuesday


	Villa Teresa		Tacuarembó

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.15	3.15	3.05
	2.24	3.28	3.13
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.2	3.2	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.18)	3.11 ↑ (3.04)	3.1 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Teresa
41.3%

Draw
29.3%

Tacuarembó
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

20.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Teresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Teresa than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Teresa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tacuarembó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Villa Teresa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tacuarembó is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tacuarembó could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Villa Teresa have a series of guest games.

Villa Teresa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villa Teresa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Teresa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Villa Teresa
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.10.20	Cerrito - Villa Teresa	3:0 ✺
12.10.20	Villa Teresa - Racing Montevideo	0:2 ✺
09.10.20	Juventud de Las Piedras - Villa Teresa	0:0 ✺
02.10.20	Sud América - Villa Teresa	1:3 ✺
28.09.20	Rampla Juniors - Villa Teresa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLTWW
- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.10.20	Tacuarembó - Rampla Juniors	0:2 ✺
12.10.20	Central Español - Tacuarembó	0:1 ✺
09.10.20	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0 ✺
02.10.20	Tacuarembó - Villa Española	1:0 ✺
28.09.20	Rocha - Tacuarembó	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.09.20	Tacuarembó - Villa Teresa	0:0
24.08.19	Villa Teresa - Tacuarembó	2:0

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