Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 23

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Tacuarembó		Rampla Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.42	2.82	2.88
	2.47	2.98	3.03
	2.46	2.84	2.94
	2.23	2.95	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.14)	2.9 ↓ (3.18)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
38.1%

Draw
31.5%

Rampla Juniors
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

28.7%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

29.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Rampla Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacuarembó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Tacuarembó - Rampla Juniors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
70', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 3.

Recent performances by Tacuarembó have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rampla Juniors is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tacuarembó may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacuarembó won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Rampla Juniors - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.55%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.09.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
24.09.25	Tacuarembó - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.09.25	Tacuarembó - Central Español	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Artigas - Tacuarembó	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
10.09.25	Cerro Largo - Tacuarembó	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLTTW
- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.09.25	Rampla Juniors - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	La Luz - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Rampla Juniors - Cerrito	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Colón Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.07.25	Rampla Juniors - Tacuarembó	1:1
11.04.25	Tacuarembó - Rampla Juniors	1:0
03.09.23	Rampla Juniors - Tacuarembó	0:1
13.05.23	Tacuarembó - Rampla Juniors	1:0
20.10.20	Tacuarembó - Rampla Juniors	0:2
25.08.20	Rampla Juniors - Tacuarembó	2:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
31.05.15	Tacuarembó - Rampla Juniors	4:2

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