Match Info

Date: 19 October 2020, Monday


	Cerrito		Villa Teresa

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.7
	2.4	3.2	2.6
	2.32	3.05	2.85
	2.4	3.2	2.94
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.35	3.22	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.69)	3.15 ↓ (3.24)	2.86 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrito
39.1%

Draw
29%

Villa Teresa
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

27.7%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

17.8%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerrito's form might have worsened.

Villa Teresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa Teresa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Teresa than the current prediction. (-2%)

Cerrito - Villa Teresa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Apertura) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Cerrito is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Teresa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cerrito won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.10.20	Rampla Juniors - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
09.10.20	Cerrito - Central Español	4:0 ✺
02.10.20	Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos	1:1 ✺
29.09.20	Villa Española - Cerrito	1:2 ✺
21.09.20	Cerrito - Rocha	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTWL
- CA Villa Teresa
Uruguayan Segunda Division
12.10.20	Villa Teresa - Racing Montevideo	0:2 ✺
09.10.20	Juventud de Las Piedras - Villa Teresa	0:0 ✺
02.10.20	Sud América - Villa Teresa	1:3 ✺
28.09.20	Rampla Juniors - Villa Teresa	1:2 ✺
22.09.20	Villa Teresa - Central Español	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.08.20	Villa Teresa - Cerrito	1:3
10.08.19	Villa Teresa - Cerrito	2:2

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