Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 22Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Diocesano |
|
Badajoz |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
5.7 |
3.5 |
1.52 |
|
 |
4.93 |
3.54 |
1.66 |
|
 |
5.81 |
3.8 |
1.54 |
|
 |
5.5 |
3.3 |
1.6 |
|
 |
5.09 |
3.48 |
1.62 |
|
 |
5 |
3.4 |
1.64 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.34 ↓
(5.79) |
3.5 ↓
(3.71) |
1.6 ↑
(1.52) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Diocesano
17% | Draw
26% | Badajoz
57% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+3.5%)Diocesano - Badajoz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Bermudez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 73', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).Diocesano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Badajoz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Diocesano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Badajoz is a strong favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Diocesano won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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