Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 13

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Villanovense		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.3	2.95	3.25
	2.48	2.75	3.34
	2.48	2.67	3.34
	2.31	2.86	3.14
	2.27	2.85	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.23)	2.81 ↓ (3.08)	3.24 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villanovense
39.1%

Draw
32.6%

San Sebastian Reyes
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

San Sebastian Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Villanovense - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 6).

Villanovense is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches SS Reyes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villanovense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	Mensajero - Villanovense	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Villanovense - Getafe B	4:0 ✺
05.11.23	Villanovense - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Villanovense - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.10.23	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWLWW
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.11.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Numancia - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Illescas	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Atlético Paso - San Sebastian Reyes	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Llerenense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTWLW

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