Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
United Kingdom	20:00	BT Sport


	Villarreal		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7.5
	1.39	5	7
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.39	4.9	7.2
	1.4	5.09	7.93
	1.38	4.95	7.7
	1.4	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.39)	4.92 ↑ (4.38)	7.48 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
67.9%

Draw
19.3%

Anderlecht
12.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21.1%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

20.2%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.7%	3.5%	8.8%

Villarreal - Anderlecht Predictions

Users Predictions: Villarreal will win (50 of 57 users predict this - 87.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.2% – 96.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Villarreal has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (80%), a good chance of semis (52%), a chance of final (31%), a chance of win league (17%).

Anderlecht has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a chance of qtrs (20%), a small chance of semis (9%), a very small chance of final (3%), a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 61, big importance 89, big match rating 75. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Anderlecht have a series of home games.

In this match Villarreal is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Villarreal: Coquelin F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Anderlecht: Delcroix H. (Knee Injury) Kana M. (Toe Injury) Trebel A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Capoue E. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
12.03.23	Villarreal - Betis	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Anderlecht - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.03.23	Almería - Villarreal	0:2 ✺
27.02.23	Villarreal - Getafe	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Mallorca - Villarreal	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTWWL
- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.03.23	Anderlecht - Cercle Brugge	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Anderlecht - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.03.23	Gent - Anderlecht	1:0 ✺
26.02.23	Anderlecht - Standard Liège	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.02.23	Anderlecht - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Anderlecht - Villarreal	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Villarreal - Paris Saint-Germain	✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.10.26	Villarreal - Espanyol	✺
- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.10.26	Anderlecht - Westerlo	✺

Villarreal - Anderlecht