The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Anderlecht 22%
Draw 26.1%
Villarreal 51.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.8%
28.3%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
24.9%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villarreal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.6%
8.6%
82.8%
Anderlecht - Villarreal Predictions
Users Predictions:
Villarreal will win
(77 of 93 users predict this - 82.8%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.13% โ 90.47%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Anderlecht was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (19%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Villarreal was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (81%), has a good chance of semis (54%), has a chance of final (32%), has a chance of win league (18%).
This event has quality60, big importance71, match rating66. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Two teams are playing changeable.
Anderlecht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Villarreal will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Anderlecht: Delcroix H.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Villarreal: Coquelin F.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Anderlecht: Kana M.
(Toe Injury)
There are questionable in Villarreal: Capoue E.
(Muscle Injury)