What is the expert prediction for Mallorca vs Villarreal?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Mallorca vs Villarreal. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Mallorca vs Villarreal Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, May 10, 2026)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 35

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 4
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	ESPN 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 4
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 4
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Mallorca		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	3	Watch
	2.37	3.6	2.8
	2.32	3.55	2.98	Watch
	2.36	3.6	3.08
	2.35	3.37	3.04	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.9
	2.39	3.64	3.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.65)	3.51 ↓ (3.54)	2.99 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
40.8%

Draw
27.2%

Villarreal
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.7%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.8%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mallorca's performance.

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villarreal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	36%	44%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Villarreal will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mallorca (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roman L. (G) 2. Morey Bauza M. 24. Valjent M. (C) 5. Mascarell O. 22. Mojica J. 10. Darder S. 8. Morlanes M. 15. Luvumbo Z. 20. Torre P. 12. Samu Costa 7. Muriqi V.	25. Tenas A. (G) 15. Mourino S. 4. Marin R. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 17. Buchanan T. 14. Comesana S. (C) 16. Partey T. 11. Gonzalez A. 22. Perez A. 21. Oluwaseyi T.
Substitutes
11. Asano T. 44. Calatayud M. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 34. Olaizola J. 29. Orejuela L. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 28. Riba C. 6. Sanchez A. 17. Virgili J.	2. Costa L. 3. Freeman A. 18. Gueye P. 5. Kambwala W. 1. Luiz Junior (G) 9. Mikautadze G. 20. Moleiro A. 7. Moreno G. 6. Navarro P. 10. Parejo D. 24. Pedraza A. 19. Pepe N.
Coaches
Demichelis M.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Perez A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 1 - 1, Muriqi V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Mojica J. ↓, Lato T. ↑,
63', Gonzalez A. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
63', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
70', Morlanes M. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
70', Morey Bauza M. ↓, Calatayud M. ↑,
70', Perez A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
71', Buchanan T. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
71', Samu Costa 🟨,
73', Muriqi V. 🟨,
75', Comesana S. ↓, Parejo D. ↑,
76', Torre P. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

Villarreal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Villarreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Mallorca: Bergstrom L. (Injury) Joseph M. (Knee Injury) Kalumba J. (Injury) Kumbulla M. (Muscle Injury) Maffeo P. (Yellow Cards) Raillo A. (Injury) Salas J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Villarreal - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.64%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
01.05.26	Girona - Mallorca	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Mallorca - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WLTWW
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
02.05.26	Villarreal - Levante	5:1 ✺
26.04.26	Villarreal - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Real Oviedo - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Athletic Bilbao - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Girona - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
22.11.25	Villarreal - Mallorca	2:1
20.01.25	Villarreal - Mallorca	4:0
14.09.24	Mallorca - Villarreal	1:2
20.01.24	Villarreal - Mallorca	1:1
18.08.23	Mallorca - Villarreal	0:1
18.02.23	Mallorca - Villarreal	4:2
06.11.22	Villarreal - Mallorca	0:2

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