The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon 47.1%
Draw 23%
Villarreal 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.5%
27.2%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.
Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
95.3%
2.3%
2.3%
Sporting Lisbon - Villarreal Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
AH -0.75 - Sporting (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Sporting (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sporting Lisbon will win
(41 of 43 users predict this - 95.35%). Confidence interval (95%): 89.06% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (27 of 27 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 29 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Virginia J. (G) 21. Catamo G. 26. Diomande O. 22. Fresneda I. 8. Goncalves P. 19. Harder C. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 25. Inacio G. 2. Matheus Reis 5. Morita H. 17. Trincao
1. Junior Reis (G) 29. Etta Eyong 18. Gueye P. 5. Kambwala W. 3. Marin R. 7. Moreno G. 4. Navarro P. 10. Parejo D. 24. Pedraza A. 19. Pepe N. 21. Pino Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Hjulmand M. ⚽,
21', Matheus Reis 🟨,
21', 🟨,
37', Junior Reis ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
39', 🟨,
44', Harder C. 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Inacio G. ↓, St. Juste J. ↑,
70', Fresneda I. ↓, Esgaio R. ↑,
70', Catamo G. ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
71', Matheus Reis ↓, Quaresma E. ↑,
78', Trincao ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
78', Morita H. ↓, Ribeiro R. ↑,
79', Harder C. ↓, Rayan Lucas ↑,
84', Esgaio R. 🟨,
Preview
Neutral location - Estádio Nacional do Jamor.
Villarreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sporting will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting Lisbon - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.49%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Villarreal - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.26%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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Virginia J. (G) 
Catamo G. 
Diomande O. 
Fresneda I. 
Harder C. 
Matheus Reis 
Morita H. 
Etta Eyong 
Gueye P. 
Kambwala W. 
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