Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, Q Arena Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
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Brazil	HBO Max
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Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
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Colombia	ESPN 3
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Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Denmark	Viaplay
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Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 4
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Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
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Hungary	RTL+
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India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
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Italy	Amazon Prime Video
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
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New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
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Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Villarreal		Juventus

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.3
	2.3	3.4	3.3
	2.25	3.45	3.43
	3.07	2.29	3.31	Watch
	2.31	3.57	3.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.55)	3.22 ↓ (3.35)	3.33 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal
40.3%

Draw
30.3%

Juventus
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.6%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

30.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Villarreal aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.8%	20.9%	37.3%

Villarreal - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 27 - 41.5%). Juventus will win (votes: 24 - 36.9%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 21.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 29.5% – 53.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Juventus (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Tie (votes: 10 - 34.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Villarreal (1.37) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

AH +0.25 - Juventus (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (3.75) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal (votes: 14 - 40%). Juventus (votes: 11 - 31.4%). Tie (votes: 10 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Tenas A. (G) 15. Mourino S. 4. Marin R. 12. Veiga R. 24. Pedraza A. 17. Buchanan T. 10. Parejo D. (C) 18. Gueye P. 14. Comesana S. 19. Pepe N. 9. Mikautadze G.	1. Perin M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 4. Gatti F. 6. Kelly L. 27. Cambiaso A. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 22. McKennie W. 32. Cabal J. 8. Koopmeiners T. 10. Yildiz K. 30. David J.
Substitutes
11. Akhomach I. 3. Altimira A. 23. Cardona S. 13. Conde D. (G) 1. Luiz Junior (G) 20. Moleiro A. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 16. Partey T.	17. Adzic V. 7. Conceicao F. 16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 25. Joao Mario 18. Kostic F. 20. Openda L. 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 24. Rugani D. 9. Vlahovic D. 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Marcelino G.	Tudor I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Cabal J. 🟨,
16', Cabal J. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
18', 1 - 0, Mikautadze G. ⚽, Pepe N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Conceicao F. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Gatti F. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
56', 1 - 2, Conceicao F. ⚽,
64', Buchanan T. ↓, Moleiro A. ↑,
64', Parejo D. ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
76', Pedraza A. ↓, Cardona S. ↑,
76', Mikautadze G. ↓, Akhomach I. ↑,
77', Cambiaso A. 🟨,
80', Cambiaso A. ↓, Rugani D. ↑,
80', Yildiz K. ↓, Adzic V. ↑,
85', Akhomach I. 🟨,
86', David J. ↓, Vlahovic D. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Veiga R. ⚽, Akhomach I. (A),
90+6', Conceicao F. 🟨,

Preview

Villarreal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Juventus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Juventus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Villarreal could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Muscle Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Moreno G. (Hamstring Injury) Navarro P. (International duty) Perez A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Bremer (Muscle Injury) Milik A. (Knee Injury) Miretti F. (Thigh Injury) Thuram K. (Calf Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Villarreal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Villarreal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
27.09.25	Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Sevilla - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Villarreal - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLL
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
27.09.25	Juventus - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Verona - Juventus	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Juventus - Borussia Dortmund	4:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.09.25	Juventus - Inter Milan	4:3 ✺
31.08.25	Genoa - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
16.03.22	Juventus - Villarreal	0:3
22.02.22	Villarreal - Juventus	1:1

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