Match Info

LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport Variety 4
Argentina	16:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Armenia	23:30	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	05:30	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	21:30	DAZN
Bangladesh	01:30	Begin
Bolivia	15:30	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:30	Max Sport 2
Canada	15:30	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	16:30	DirecTV Sports
China	03:30	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:30	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	21:30	TV2 Play
Ecuador	14:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Europe	—	Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	22:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	21:30	beIN Connect
Germany	21:30	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:30	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	03:30	M Plus Live
Hungary	21:30	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:00	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:30	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	21:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:30	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	02:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	13:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:30	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	21:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	14:30	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:30	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	20:30	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 2
Russia	22:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:30	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	03:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	21:30	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	21:30	SuperSport Variety 4
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:30	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	21:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	21:30	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	22:30	S Sport+
Ukraine	22:30	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:30	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Usa	15:30	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter


	Sevilla		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.22	Watch
	3.51	3.43	2.23
	3.31	3.21	2.22	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.1)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.24 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
28.4%

Draw
28.8%

Villarreal
42.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.8%

27.2%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.5%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.9%	44.2%	34.9%

Sevilla - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 9 - 21.4%). Villarreal will win (votes: 14 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 45.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.1% – 60.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Villarreal (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Villarreal (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sevilla (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Villarreal (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Tie (votes: 11 - 47.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 3. Azpilicueta C. 32. Castrin 4. Salas K. 16. Sanchez J. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 20. Sow D. 12. Suazo G. 21. Ejuke C. 9. Adams A. 24. Januzaj A.	25. Tenas A. (G) 15. Mourino S. 4. Marin R. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 10. Parejo D. (C) 18. Gueye P. 14. Comesana S. 17. Buchanan T. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 20. Moleiro A.
Substitutes
18. Agoume L. 15. Cardoso F. 2. Carmona J. A. 23. Marcao 19. Mendy B. 5. Nianzou T. 13. Nyland O. (G) 36. Oso 14. Peque 7. Romero I. 10. Sanchez A. 11. Vargas R.	3. Altimira A. 28. Barry M. 13. Conde D. (G) 32. Lopez H. 1. Luiz Junior (G) 9. Mikautadze G. 16. Partey T. 24. Pedraza A. 19. Pepe N. 29. Sierra I. 6. Solomon M.
Coaches
Almeyda M.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Oluwaseyi T. ⚽, Cardona S. (A),
29', Comesana S. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
42', Gueye P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Pedraza A. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Sow D. ⚽,
55', Castrin ↓, Nianzou T. ↑,
55', Ejuke C. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
59', Januzaj A. ↓, Vargas R. ↑,
69', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
69', Moleiro A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
70', Gudelj N. 🟨,
71', Sanchez J. ↓, Carmona J. A. ↑,
71', Gudelj N. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
84', Parejo D. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
84', Cardona S. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
85', Marin R. 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Solomon M. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
90+3', Carmona J. A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Villarreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villarreal might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sevilla: Gonzalez A. (Ankle Injury) Joan Jordan (Back Injury)

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Muscle Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Navarro P. (International duty) Perez A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Martinez R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Injury) Moreno G. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Sevilla - Elche	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Girona - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Sevilla - Getafe	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWLL
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Villarreal - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Villarreal - Girona	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.05.25	Villarreal - Sevilla	4:2
23.08.24	Sevilla - Villarreal	1:2
11.05.24	Villarreal - Sevilla	3:2
03.12.23	Sevilla - Villarreal	1:1
23.04.23	Sevilla - Villarreal	2:1
18.09.22	Villarreal - Sevilla	1:1
08.05.22	Villarreal - Sevilla	1:1

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