Match Info

LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter


	Sevilla		Villarreal

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.22	Watch
	3.51	3.43	2.23
	3.31	3.21	2.22	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.1)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.24 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
28.4%

Draw
28.8%

Villarreal
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

27.2%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.3%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.9%	44.2%	34.9%

Sevilla - Villarreal Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 9 - 21.4%). Villarreal will win (votes: 14 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 45.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.1% – 60.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Villarreal (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Villarreal (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sevilla (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Villarreal (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Tie (votes: 11 - 47.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 3. Azpilicueta C. 32. Castrin 4. Salas K. 16. Sanchez J. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 20. Sow D. 12. Suazo G. 21. Ejuke C. 9. Adams A. 24. Januzaj A.	25. Tenas A. (G) 15. Mourino S. 4. Marin R. 12. Veiga R. 23. Cardona S. 10. Parejo D. (C) 18. Gueye P. 14. Comesana S. 17. Buchanan T. 21. Oluwaseyi T. 20. Moleiro A.
Substitutes
18. Agoume L. 15. Cardoso F. 2. Carmona J. A. 23. Marcao 19. Mendy B. 5. Nianzou T. 13. Nyland O. (G) 36. Oso 14. Peque 7. Romero I. 10. Sanchez A. 11. Vargas R.	3. Altimira A. 28. Barry M. 13. Conde D. (G) 32. Lopez H. 1. Luiz Junior (G) 9. Mikautadze G. 16. Partey T. 24. Pedraza A. 19. Pepe N. 29. Sierra I. 6. Solomon M.
Coaches
Almeyda M.	Marcelino G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Oluwaseyi T. ⚽, Cardona S. (A),
29', Comesana S. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
42', Gueye P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Pedraza A. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Sow D. ⚽,
55', Castrin ↓, Nianzou T. ↑,
55', Ejuke C. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
59', Januzaj A. ↓, Vargas R. ↑,
69', Oluwaseyi T. ↓, Pepe N. ↑,
69', Moleiro A. ↓, Mikautadze G. ↑,
70', Gudelj N. 🟨,
71', Sanchez J. ↓, Carmona J. A. ↑,
71', Gudelj N. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
84', Parejo D. ↓, Partey T. ↑,
84', Cardona S. ↓, Solomon M. ↑,
85', Marin R. 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Solomon M. ⚽, Mikautadze G. (A),
90+3', Carmona J. A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Villarreal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villarreal might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sevilla: Gonzalez A. (Ankle Injury) Joan Jordan (Back Injury)

There will not play in Villarreal: Cabanes P. (Knee Injury) Costa L. (Knee Injury) Foyth J. (Muscle Injury) Kambwala W. (Hamstring Injury) Navarro P. (International duty) Perez A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Martinez R. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Villarreal: Akhomach I. (Injury) Moreno G. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Sevilla - Elche	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Girona - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Sevilla - Getafe	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTWLL
- Villarreal CF
Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Villarreal - Osasuna	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Celta de Vigo - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Villarreal - Girona	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
25.05.25	Villarreal - Sevilla	4:2
23.08.24	Sevilla - Villarreal	1:2
11.05.24	Villarreal - Sevilla	3:2
03.12.23	Sevilla - Villarreal	1:1
23.04.23	Sevilla - Villarreal	2:1
18.09.22	Villarreal - Sevilla	1:1
08.05.22	Villarreal - Sevilla	1:1

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