Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Allianz Stadium (Turin)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Juventus		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.1
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	1.98	3.6	3.95
	2.11	3.6	3.62
	6.50	3.10	1.70	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.6
	1.97	3.7	4.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.05)	3.5 ↓ (3.6)	3.54 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus
40%

Draw
30.2%

Borussia Dortmund
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.6%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.6%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventus's form might have worsened.

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	14.6%	10.4%

Juventus - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 93 users predict this event. Juventus will win (votes: 70 - 75.3%). Borussia D will win (votes: 10 - 10.8%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 66.5% – 84.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Borussia D (1.85) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Juventus (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (1.87) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juventus will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 47 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 39 - 83%). Borussia D (votes: 3 - 6.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 10.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer (C) 6. Kelly L. 22. McKennie W. 8. Koopmeiners T. 19. Thuram K. 27. Cambiaso A. 30. David J. 10. Yildiz K. 20. Openda L.	1. Kobel G. (C) 26. Ryerson J. 3. Anton W. 5. Bensebaini R. 2. Couto Y. 20. Sabitzer M. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 27. Adeyemi K. 14. Beier M. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
17. Adzic V. 32. Cabal J. 7. Conceicao F. 4. Gatti F. 25. Joao Mario 18. Kostic F. 5. Locatelli M. 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 24. Rugani D. 9. Vlahovic D. 11. Zhegrova E.	7. Bellingham J. 10. Brandt J. 37. Campbell C. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 13. Gross P. 42. Kabar A. 39. Mane F. 33. Meyer A. (G) 31. Ostrzinski S. (G)
Coaches
Tudor I.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Anton W. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 4)
52', 0 - 1, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Guirassy S. (A),
58', David J. ↓, Vlahovic D. ↑,
59', McKennie W. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Yildiz K. ⚽, Joao Mario (A),
65', 1 - 2, Nmecha F. ⚽, Adeyemi K. (A),
67', 2 - 2, Vlahovic D. ⚽, Yildiz K. (A),
69', Openda L. ↓, Adzic V. ↑,
69', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Locatelli M. ↑,
71', Beier M. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
71', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
74', 2 - 3, Couto Y. ⚽,
86', 2 - 4, Bensebaini R. (Pen),
87', Yildiz K. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
90+2', Guirassy S. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 4, Vlahovic D. ⚽, Kalulu P. (A),
90+6', 4 - 4, Kelly L. ⚽, Vlahovic D. (A),

Preview

Juventus is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Borussia D is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Juventus will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Juventus: Milik A. (Knee Injury) Zhegrova E. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A. (Muscle Injury) Can E. (Groin Injury) Drewes P. (Inactive) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Gross P. (Illness) Ozcan S. (Inactive) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Silva F. (Muscle Injury) Sule N. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Conceicao F. (Muscle Injury) Miretti F. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home match between the teams, Juventus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus
Italian Serie A
13.09.25	Juventus - Inter Milan	4:3 ✺
31.08.25	Genoa - Juventus	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Atalanta - Juventus	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
13.09.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:2 ✺
31.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Dortmund	3:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Juventus	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.25	Borussia Dortmund - Juventus	1:2
25.07.15	Borussia Dortmund - Juventus	2:0
UEFA Champions League
18.03.15	Borussia Dortmund - Juventus	0:3
24.02.15	Juventus - Borussia Dortmund	2:1

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