Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 26

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Ciudad Deportiva (Villarreal)

Referee: Frances R. (Esp)


	Villarreal B		Granada

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.38	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	3.4	3	2.3
	3.15	3	2.22
	3.19	3.23	2.44
	3.08	3.28	2.34	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.75)	3.16 ↑ (3.07)	2.34 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
30.3%

Draw
29.7%

Granada
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

30.1%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

29.7%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	31.2%	56.2%

Villarreal B - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Granada will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Granada: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Villarreal B has the most likely position - 14 (9.01%), has project points - 54, has currently - 34, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Granada has the most likely position - 4 (15.05%), has project points - 68, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (54%), has a chance of promoted (37%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 35, importance 33, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Villarreal B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Granada will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
28.01.23	Real Oviedo - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Lugo - Villarreal B	1:2 ✺
14.01.23	Villarreal B - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
06.01.23	Ponferradina - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
17.12.22	Villarreal B - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLLL
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
28.01.23	Granada - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Granada - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Levante - Granada	3:1 ✺
08.01.23	Granada - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.12.22	Real Oviedo - Granada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.08.22	Granada - Villarreal B	3:0

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