The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Granada 60.1%
Draw 25.6%
Ibiza 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.3%
23.9%
13.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
23.5%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
10.7%
3.6%
Granada - Ibiza Predictions
Users Predictions:
Granada will win
(24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% โ 98.67%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
Granada has the most likely position - 3 (13.47%), has project points - 67, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (34%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
Ibiza has the most likely position - 22 (51.1%), has project points - 37, has currently - 16, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality32, importance37, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Granada is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ibiza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Granada is absolute favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Granada won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.