Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 35

Date: 7 April 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Villarreal B		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.2	3.15	3.45
	2.29	3.19	3.54
	2.26	3.28	3.22	Watch
	2.18	3.15	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.78)	3.16 ↓ (3.3)	3.36 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
42.3%

Draw
29.7%

Málaga
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal B's form might have worsened.

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villarreal B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	25%	18.7%

Villarreal B - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Málaga will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal B: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Villarreal B has the most likely position - 9 (13.25%), project points - 56, currently - 46, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), a very small chance of promoted (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Málaga has the most likely position - 20 (37.85%), project points - 41, currently - 30, a good chance of relegated (87%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has quality 31, small importance 22, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Villarreal B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Málaga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarreal B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
01.04.23	Tenerife - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
26.03.23	Villarreal B - Huesca	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Villarreal B - Cartagena	4:2 ✺
11.03.23	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
06.03.23	Villarreal B - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTWTW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
02.04.23	FC Andorra - Málaga	1:0 ✺
27.03.23	Málaga - Leganés	2:0 ✺
17.03.23	Málaga - Levante	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Las Palmas - Málaga	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Málaga - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.09.22	Málaga - Villarreal B	1:1

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