Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 8

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Vinotinto		Delfín

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.1
	1.67	3.65	4.8	Watch
	1.65	3.7	5.32	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.5
	1.65	3.77	5.09	Watch
	1.67	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.95)	3.6 ↑ (3.3)	4.73 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
54.9%

Draw
25.6%

Delfín
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vinotinto's performance.

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vinotinto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vinotinto - Delfín Predictions

Users Predictions: Vinotinto will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vinotinto will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mitre L. (G) 23. Gomez L. 2. Iriarte I. 36. Nardelli G. 26. Hernandez E. 11. Mina A. 40. Mera F. 15. Larotonda C. 10. Luna D. (C) 18. Ushina K. 17. Monti R.	1. Heras B. (C) 13. Cuero Mercado J. W. 6. Burdisso M. 2. Garcia A. 5. Gallardo N. 19. Cuello B. 55. Reyes M. 22. Mendoza E. 26. Estacio J. 16. Castro L. 34. Levato M.
Substitutes
8. Caicedo J. 13. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 5. Coba K. 19. Hernandez L. 1. Lopez J. (G) 7. Lugo J. 3. Micolta C. 9. Molina N. 22. Rodriguez E.	8. Batalla H. 27. Cagua G. 33. Cardenas Salazar O. B. (G) 29. Cuero Q. C. A. 24. Leon J. 56. Medina O. 71. Nazareno J. 10. Phillips R. 7. Vega E. 11. Vivar J. 15. Zicarelli F. 14. Zuniga E.
Coaches
Grabowski J.	Chietino N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Monti R. ⚽, Larotonda C. (A),
25', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Estacio J. ↓, Zicarelli F. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Luna D. ⚽, Monti R. (A),
63', Mera F. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
65', Cuello B. ↓, Cagua G. ↑,
65', Garcia A. ↓, Batalla H. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Monti R. ⚽, Caicedo J. (A),
71', Mendoza E. ↓, Phillips R. ↑,
72', Levato M. 🟥,
75', Monti R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
75', Luna D. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Molina N. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
85', Ushina K. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
85', Gomez L. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 0, Hernandez L. ⚽, Mina A. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

Vinotinto is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Delfín is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Vinotinto is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vinotinto to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.04.25	Orense - Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	3:2 ✺
14.03.25	Mushuc Runa - Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Vinotinto - Emelec	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	SD Aucas - Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 TWWWT
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.04.25	Delfín - SD Aucas	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Delfín	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	LDU Quito - Delfín	3:0 ✺
03.03.25	Manta - Delfín	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLT

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