Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Round 4

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Vinotinto		Emelec

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	4.1	Watch
	2.05	3	3.25
	1.93	3.2	4	Watch
	1.96	3.25	4.27
	1.95	3.21	4.14	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4
	1.94	3.3	4	Watch
	1.93	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.64)	3.2 ↑ (3.18)	3.97 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
47.6%

Draw
29.1%

Emelec
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.1%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vinotinto's performance.

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Emelec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Vinotinto - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mitre L. (G) 2. Iriarte I. 36. Nardelli G. 26. Hernandez E. 23. Gomez L. 15. Larotonda C. 40. Mera F. 11. Mina A. 18. Ushina K. 10. Luna D. 17. Monti R.	12. Ortiz P. (G) 21. Gonzalez A. 36. Valencia C. 6. Tarira E. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 14. Caicedo R. 25. Garces R. 39. Valverde J. 8. Meli M. 11. Jhon Sanchez 19. Ruiz J.
Substitutes
4. Aguirre A. 8. Caicedo J. 13. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 5. Coba K. 19. Hernandez L. 1. Lopez J. (G) 7. Lugo J. 3. Micolta C. 9. Molina N. 22. Rodriguez E.	4. Arroyo E. 17. Ayovi J. 16. Bagui Tobar D. O. 5. Borja R. 9. Castelli F. 7. Corozo W. 26. Mina K. 80. Munoz E. 1. Napa G. (G) 28. Solis M.
Coaches
Grabowski J.	Celico J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Monti R. ⚽, Ushina K. (A),
22', Nardelli G. 🟨,
32', Valverde J. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
35', Meli M. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Luna D. ⚽, Nardelli G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tarira E. ↓, Bagui Tobar D. O. ↑,
46', Garces R. ↓, Castelli F. ↑,
66', Nardelli G. ↓, Aguirre A. ↑,
66', Monti R. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
71', Valencia C. ↓, Corozo W. ↑,
77', Mera F. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
77', Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. ↓, Mina K. ↑,
89', Luna D. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
89', Ushina K. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Aguirre A. (Own goal),

Preview

Recent matches Vinotinto is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Emelec is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vinotinto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vinotinto have a series of guest games.

Recently Emelec have a series of home games.

Vinotinto will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.03.25	SD Aucas - Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	LDU Quito - Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.25	Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	SD Aucas - Vinotinto	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 TLTTW
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.02.25	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Delfín - Emelec	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.25	Emelec - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Emelec - Manta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT

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