Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 7

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala)

Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Orense		Vinotinto

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2	3.25	3.65	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.71	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	1.98	3.34	3.8	Watch
	2	3.25	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.21)	3.23 ↓ (3.26)	3.67 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orense
46.2%

Draw
28.6%

Vinotinto
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

29%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Orense - Vinotinto Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Orense will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Silva R. (G) 31. Velasco P. 4. Quinonez S. 24. Achilier G. 15. Caicedo B. 26. Molina N. 50. Vasquez S. 13. Mena A. 7. Luna R. 11. Herrera A. 10. Parrales M.	25. Mitre L. (G) 26. Hernandez E. 4. Aguirre A. 36. Nardelli G. 23. Gomez L. 18. Ushina K. 15. Larotonda C. 11. Mina A. 10. Luna D. 40. Mera F. 17. Monti R.
Substitutes
17. Caicedo B. 92. Carabali M. 9. Coronel D. 53. Guerrero Meza J. A. 91. Isaac Prado 18. Mejia M. 23. Meneses Garcia R. R. 25. Mina S. 22. Ortiz J. (G) 27. Ospina N. 2. Quinonez B. 77. Vinan B.	8. Caicedo J. 13. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 5. Coba K. 19. Hernandez L. 2. Iriarte I. 1. Lopez J. (G) 7. Lugo J. 3. Micolta C. 9. Molina N. 22. Rodriguez E.
Coaches
Antuna R.	Grabowski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Ushina K. 🟨,
45', Caicedo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Velasco P. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
50', Gomez L. 🟨,
60', Caicedo B. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
60', Herrera A. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
67', Mera F. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
74', Luna D. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
75', Monti R. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
75', Luna R. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
86', Quinonez S. ↓, Mina S. ↑,
90+5', Ushina K. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
90+7', Hernandez E. 🟨,
90+7', Mena A. 🟨,
90+7', Aguirre A. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

Recent matches Orense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vinotinto is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Orense have a series of guest games.

Orense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orense SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.03.25	El Nacional - Orense	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Libertad Loja - Orense	4:1 ✺
10.03.25	Orense - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.25	Mushuc Runa - Orense	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.03.25	LDU Quito - Orense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWLL
- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
29.03.25	Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	3:2 ✺
14.03.25	Mushuc Runa - Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Vinotinto - Emelec	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	SD Aucas - Vinotinto	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWWTL

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