Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - Round 3

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda (Quito)

Referee: Marin R. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	SD Aucas		Vinotinto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.1	4
				Watch
	1.95	3.11	4.58
				Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.9
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.06)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)	4.16 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SD Aucas
48.6%

Draw
29.2%

Vinotinto
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

SD Aucas - Vinotinto Predictions

Users Predictions: SD Aucas will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Resendez E. (G) 4. Patino D. 3. Ontaneda J. 2. Segura E. 15. Mina J. 23. Vazquez J. 19. Pepinos E. 18. Almagro A. 11. Illescas F. 14. Briones R. (C) 10. Carcelen Carabali M. A.	25. Mitre L. (G) 2. Iriarte I. 36. Nardelli G. 26. Hernandez E. 23. Gomez L. 40. Mera F. 15. Larotonda C. 18. Ushina K. 7. Lugo J. 10. Luna D. (C) 11. Mina A.
Substitutes
38. Caicedo J. 27. Ciccioli U. 25. Jaramilo R. 8. Mina A. 55. Olaya V. 32. Piedra H. (G) 97. Porozo D. 28. Quinonez R. 5. Serpa T. 36. Sotomayor N.	8. Caicedo J. 13. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 5. Coba K. 19. Hernandez L. 1. Lopez J. (G) 3. Micolta C. 9. Molina N. 17. Monti R. 6. Ona C. 22. Rodriguez E.
Coaches
Pereyra G.	Grabowski J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Nardelli G. ⚽, Luna D. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ⚽, Briones R. (A),
22', Iriarte I. 🟨,
31', Pepinos E. ↓, Jaramilo R. ↑,
45', 2 - 1, Briones R. ⚽, Carcelen Carabali M. A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Patino D. ↓, Ciccioli U. ↑,
46', Larotonda C. ↓, Ona C. ↑,
54', 2 - 2, Mera F. ⚽, Mina A. (A),
60', Lugo J. ↓, Monti R. ↑,
62', Illescas F. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
64', Ontaneda J. 🟨,
72', Mera F. 🟨,
73', Vazquez J. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
73', Briones R. ↓, Porozo D. ↑,
74', Mera F. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
74', Luna D. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
77', Ona C. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
80', Ushina K. 🟨,
88', Mina A. 🟨,

Preview

Vinotinto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aucas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aucas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Including matches at home between the teams Aucas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.02.25	Deportivo Cuenca - SD Aucas	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.01.25	Alianza Lima - SD Aucas	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	SD Aucas - Vinotinto	0:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.11.24	Imbabura - SD Aucas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW
- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.02.25	Vinotinto - Deportivo Macará	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	LDU Quito - Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.25	Independiente del Valle - Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	SD Aucas - Vinotinto	0:1 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Serie B
30.10.24	Vinotinto - Independiente Juniors	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.01.25	SD Aucas - Vinotinto	0:1 penalties

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