The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
La Fiorita 30.3%
Draw 30.2%
Virtus 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
27.7%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
27.6%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Fiorita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that La Fiorita's form might have worsened.
Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
La Fiorita - Virtus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Felipe J. ⚽, Cicarelli D. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Buonocunto I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 1.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, La Fiorita won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, La Fiorita won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).
World
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