Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.8
	2.6	3	2.85	Watch
	2.67	3.15	2.98
	2.58	3.12	2.92	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.53	3.3	2.81	Watch
	2.6	3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.68)	3.13 ↓ (3.16)	2.82 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
36.5%

Draw
30.1%

Frosinone
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.9%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.3%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	41.7%	0%

Cittadella - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cittadella: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Maniero L. (G) 24. Carissoni L. 26. Pavan N. 4. Angeli M. 2. Salvi A. 19. D'Alessio F. 23. Branca S. (C) 8. Amatucci F. 11. Desogus J. 91. Ravasio M. 7. Pandolfi L.	31. Cerofolini M. (G) 30. Monterisi I. 23. Kalaj S. 3. Marchizza R. (C) 16. Garritano L. 64. Cichella M. 14. Gelli F. 20. Oyono A. 70. Partipilo A. 28. Di Stefano F. 74. Tsadjout F.
Substitutes
10. Cassano C. 64. Cecchetto A. 36. Kastrati E. (G) 9. Magrassi A. 32. Masciangelo E. 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 28. Rizza A. 22. Scquizzato E. (G) 16. Vita A. 20. Voltan D.	10. Ambrosino G. 11. Begic T. 18. Bettella D. 79. Bracaglia G. 27. Canotto L. 15. Haoudi H. 17. Kvernadze G. 77. Machin J. 21. Oyono J. 13. Sorrentino A. (G) 25. Szyminski P.
Coaches
Gorini E.	Vivarini V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Tsadjout F. 🟨,
28', Ravasio M. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Oyono A. ⚽, Garritano L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tsadjout F. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
46', Ravasio M. ↓, Magrassi A. ↑,
50', Branca S. 🟨,
50', Garritano L. 🟨,
63', 0 - 2, Partipilo A. (Pen),
64', Desogus J. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
64', D'Alessio F. ↓, Vita A. ↑,
69', Di Stefano F. ↓, Kvernadze G. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Cassano C. ⚽, Magrassi A. (A),
74', Branca S. ↓, Masciangelo E. ↑,
78', Partipilo A. ↓, Begic T. ↑,
81', Cassano C. 🟨,
85', Pandolfi L. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
88', Rabbi S. 🟨,
90+1', Oyono A. ↓, Bettella D. ↑,
90+3', Begic T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3.

Recent matches Cittadella is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Frosinone is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
22.09.24	Mantova - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Cittadella - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Modena - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
27.08.24	Cittadella - Pisa	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Brescia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTWTW
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie B
22.09.24	Frosinone - Bari	0:3 ✺
14.09.24	Brescia - Frosinone	4:0 ✺
01.09.24	Frosinone - Juve Stabia	0:0 ✺
27.08.24	Frosinone - Modena	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Spezia - Frosinone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
11.02.23	Frosinone - Cittadella	3:0
10.09.22	Cittadella - Frosinone	1:0
27.02.22	Cittadella - Frosinone	3:0
02.10.21	Frosinone - Cittadella	0:1
10.04.21	Frosinone - Cittadella	1:1
22.12.20	Cittadella - Frosinone	1:0
05.08.20	Cittadella - Frosinone	2:3 ET

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