Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 38

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Virtus Entella		Recanatese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	4.1	6
	1.42	4.33	7
	1.47	4.15	6.98
	1.47	4.14	6.98
	1.4	4.2	6.5
	1.45	4.16	6.61
	1.4	4.2	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.65)	4.18 ↑ (3.48)	6.67 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
64.2%

Draw
22%

Recanatese
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

26.2%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

27.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Virtus Entella's performance.

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Entella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Virtus Entella - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. De Lucia V. (G) 90. Portanova D. 16. Manzi C. 4. Bonini F. 7. Tomaselli G. 24. Lipani J. 25. Petermann D. 80. Faggi F. 26. Di Mario S. 92. Santini C. 9. Giovannini R.	22. Mascolo N. (G) 5. Shiba C. 14. Ferrante E. 2. Veltri A. 19. Raimo A. 8. Carpani G. 16. Morrone B. 31. Fiorini M. 10. Sbaffo A. 9. Melchiorri F. 25. Longobardi G.
Substitutes
10. Casarotto M. 14. Corbari A. 33. Embalo A. 2. Garattoni A. 37. Ghio U. 6. Granata A. 91. Montevago D. 5. Muller Cecchini M. 77. Parodi L. 1. Paroni A. (G) 23. Sadiki K. 20. Siatounis A. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 11. Vianni S. 13. Zappella D.	74. Ahmetaj M. 3. Allievi N. 17. Egharevba D. 37. Ferretti D. 6. Gomez F. 21. Guidobaldi F. 30. Mazia A. 1. Meli G. (G) 7. Pelamatti A. 4. Prisco A. 24. Raparo M. 33. Rizzo F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Santini C. ⚽,
10', Raimo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Melchiorri F. ↓, Egharevba D. ↑,
47', Portanova D. 🟨,
55', Di Mario S. 🟨,
59', Portanova D. ↓, Parodi L. ↑,
59', Di Mario S. ↓, Zappella D. ↑,
59', Morrone B. ↓, Raparo M. ↑,
59', Longobardi G. ↓, Pelamatti A. ↑,
68', Fiorini M. 🟨,
69', Santini C. 🟨,
70', Santini C. ↓, Vianni S. ↑,
70', Veltri A. ↓, Mazia A. ↑,
77', Faggi F. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
77', Petermann D. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
80', Carpani G. ↓, Ferretti D. ↑,
89', Pelamatti A. 🟨,
90', Egharevba D. 🟨,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Recanatese is Serie C ~ Group A

Virtus Entella is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Recanatese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Virtus Entella is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
21.04.24	Rimini - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Virtus Entella - SPAL	1:2 ✺
08.04.24	Pescara - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	Juventus U23 - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Virtus Entella - Pontedera	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLW
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group B
21.04.24	Recanatese - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
15.04.24	Cesena - Recanatese	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Recanatese - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
30.03.24	Pineto - Recanatese	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Recanatese - Ancona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.23	Recanatese - Virtus Entella	0:1
15.04.23	Virtus Entella - Recanatese	1:1
11.12.22	Recanatese - Virtus Entella	1:2

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