The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Recanatese 39.4%
Draw 28.2%
Gubbio 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
28%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
27.8%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Recanatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gubbio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Recanatese - Gubbio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Greco S. (G)
6. Casolari F.
18. Chierico L.
21. Corsinelli F.
7. Di Massimo A.
3. Mercadante M.
5. Mercati A.
31. Pirrello R.
15. Signorini A. (C)
28. Spina M.
11. Udoh P.
Substitutes
99. Bernardotto G.
20. Brambilla A.
78. Bumbu J.
10. Desogus J.
23. Dimarco C.
29. Galeandro A.
19. Morelli G.
8. Rosaia G.
4. Tozzuolo A.
22. Vettorel T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Di Massimo A. (Pen),
31', 1 - 1, Sbaffo A. ⚽,
33', Signorini A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Carpani G. 🟨,
76', 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Di Massimo A. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
88', 2 - 2, Sbaffo A. (Pen),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).
Gubbio is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs
Recent matches Recanatese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Gubbio is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Recanatese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
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Greco S. (G) 
Udoh P. 
Bumbu J. 
