Match Info

Serie B - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Virtus Entella		Südtirol-Alto Adige

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.85	3.3	Watch
	2.37	3.1	3.1
	2.38	2.92	3.15	Watch
	2.38	2.97	3.58
	2.41	2.97	3.2	Watch
	2.45	2.8	3
	2.43	2.91	3.21	Watch
	2.37	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.21)	2.92 ↓ (2.98)	3.24 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
39.2%

Draw
32%

Südtirol-Alto Adige
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

31.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

30.3%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Südtirol-Alto Adige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	52.9%	11.8%

Virtus Entella - Südtirol Alto Adige Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Südtirol will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombi S. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 7. Bariti D. 4. Nichetti M. 8. Karic N. 94. Mezzoni F. 24. Franzoni A. 11. Guiu B. 19. Debenedetti A.	31. Adamonis M. (G) 94. El Kaouakibi H. 28. Kofler R. 34. Veseli F. 79. Molina S. 21. Tait F. (C) 6. Martini J. 17. Casiraghi D. 7. Zedadka K. 33. Merkaj S. 9. Pecorino E.
Substitutes
45. Ankeye D. 50. Benali A. 81. Bottaro A. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 20. Fumagalli T. 5. Lipani J. 42. Moretti L. 2. Palomba L. 90. Portanova D. 21. Russo F. 99. Siaulys O. (G)	3. Bordon F. 46. Brik D. 14. Coulibaly M. 23. Davi F. 24. Davi S. 11. Italeng J. 8. Mallamo A. 4. Mancini D. 5. Masiello A. 90. Odogwu R. 19. Pietrangeli N. 1. Poluzzi G. (G)
Coaches
Chiappella A.	Castori F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Guiu B. 🟨,
29', Veseli F. 🟨,
38', Franzoni A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Debenedetti A. ⚽, Bariti D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Casiraghi D. ↓, Mallamo A. ↑,
46', Veseli F. ↓, Masiello A. ↑,
58', Martini J. 🟨,
62', Pecorino E. ↓, Odogwu R. ↑,
62', Tait F. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
69', Nichetti M. ↓, Portanova D. ↑,
70', Bariti D. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
78', Dalla Vecchia M. 🟨,
82', Guiu B. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
83', Debenedetti A. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
84', Merkaj S. ↓, Italeng J. ↑,
89', Mezzoni F. ↓, Moretti L. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Odogwu R. ⚽, El Kaouakibi H. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 15)

Virtus Entella has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Südtirol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Virtus Entella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Virtus Entella could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Del Lungo T. (Inactive) Di Mario S. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Südtirol: Masiello A. (Inactive) Tronchin S. (Red Card)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Entella - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
14.12.25	Carrarese - Virtus Entella	3:1 ✺
08.12.25	Virtus Entella - Spezia	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Catanzaro - Virtus Entella	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Virtus Entella - Palermo	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Reggiana - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLTT
- Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B
13.12.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Bari	0:0 ✺
08.12.25	Monza - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Avellino	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
11.08.19	Virtus Entella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2
Italian Lega Pro C1/A
23.02.14	Virtus Entella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0
20.10.13	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella	1:2
21.04.13	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Entella	3:0
02.12.12	Virtus Entella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1

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