Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Virtus Entella		Spezia

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.05	2.7	Watch
	2.62	2.98	2.78	Watch
	2.83	3	2.88
	2.67	3.05	2.77	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.7
	2.74	3.14	2.79	Watch
	2.66	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.35)	3.02 ↓ (3.08)	2.77 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
35%

Draw
31.1%

Spezia
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

30.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

29.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Entella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	58.3%	4.2%

Virtus Entella - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Spezia will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.6% – 78%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Virtus Entella will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombi S. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 42. Moretti L. 4. Nichetti M. 7. Bariti D. 19. Debenedetti A. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 26. Di Mario S. 8. Karic N. 11. Guiu B. 90. Portanova D.	12. Mascardi D. (G) 37. Mateju A. 2. Wisniewski P. 25. Bandinelli F. 23. Candela A. 29. Cassata F. 11. Beruatto P. 80. Kouda R. 31. Aurelio G. 99. Vlahovic V. 9. Artistico G.
Substitutes
45. Ankeye D. 50. Benali A. 77. Boccadamo A. 81. Bottaro A. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 20. Fumagalli T. 5. Lipani J. 25. Matteazzi E. 94. Mezzoni F. 2. Palomba L. 21. Russo F. 99. Siaulys O. (G)	36. Candelari P. 15. Cistana A. 34. Comotto C. 6. Fellipe Jack 55. Hristov P. 10. Lapadula G. 16. Loria L. (G) 8. Nagy A. 26. Onofri M. 27. Soleri E. 7. Verde D. 32. Vignali L.
Coaches
Chiappella A.	Donadoni R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Parodi L. 🟨,
16', Beruatto P. 🟨,
25', Guiu B. 🟨,
29', Chiappella A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Wisniewski P. 🟨,
58', Parodi L. 🟨,
60', Guiu B. ↓, Mezzoni F. ↑,
68', Aurelio G. ↓, Fellipe Jack ↑,
68', Kouda R. ↓, Verde D. ↑,
74', Debenedetti A. ↓, Ankeye D. ↑,
74', Bariti D. ↓, Boccadamo A. ↑,
82', Vlahovic V. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
85', Cassata F. 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Artistico G. ⚽, Verde D. (A),
89', Artistico G. 🟨,
90', Dalla Vecchia M. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
90+1', Karic N. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
90+2', Candela A. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
90+2', Cassata F. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
90+6', Mezzoni F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Del Lungo T. (Inactive) Marconi I. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Spezia: Esposito Sa. (Hamstring Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Spezia: Di Serio G. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Catanzaro - Virtus Entella	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Virtus Entella - Palermo	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Reggiana - Virtus Entella	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Virtus Entella - Empoli	1:0 ✺
28.10.25	Frosinone - Virtus Entella	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTWL
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
30.11.25	Spezia - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Mantova - Spezia	4:1 ✺
07.11.25	Spezia - Bari	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Monza - Spezia	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Spezia - Padova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.07.20	Spezia - Virtus Entella	0:0
26.12.19	Virtus Entella - Spezia	0:0
05.02.18	Virtus Entella - Spezia	0:1
09.09.17	Spezia - Virtus Entella	2:1
22.04.17	Spezia - Virtus Entella	2:0
25.11.16	Virtus Entella - Spezia	1:1
18.03.16	Virtus Entella - Spezia	2:2

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