Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Virtus Francavilla		Bari

	1	X	2
	6	3.5	1.53
	5.3	3.25	1.6
	5.4	3.4	1.56
	6.9	3.62	1.52
	6	3.5	1.6
	7.3	3.65	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↑ (4.29)	3.49 ↑ (3.07)	1.55 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
14.9%

Draw
26.2%

Bari
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

29.1%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

23.4%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Francavilla's form might have worsened.

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bari's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Virtus Francavilla - Bari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bari in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Virtus Francavilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bari is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Virtus Francavilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Francavilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
20.10.21	Palermo - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
17.10.21	Virtus Francavilla - Catania	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Avellino - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Virtus Francavilla - Taranto	0:0 ✺
29.09.21	Potenza - Virtus Francavilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLTW
- AS Bari
Italian Serie C Group C
20.10.21	Bari - Foggia	1:1 ✺
17.10.21	Campobasso - Bari	1:3 ✺
10.10.21	Bari - Turris	4:2 ✺
03.10.21	Bari - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
29.09.21	ACR Messina - Bari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
24.01.21	Bari - Virtus Francavilla	4:1
27.09.20	Virtus Francavilla - Bari	2:3
02.02.20	Bari - Virtus Francavilla	2:0
22.09.19	Virtus Francavilla - Bari	1:0

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