Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 8

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Virtus Francavilla		Sorrento

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.14	3.1	3.6
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.06	3.18	3.32
	2.08	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.65)	3.16 ↓ (3.5)	3.25 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
43%

Draw
28.9%

Sorrento
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

25.1%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Francavilla's form might have worsened.

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sorrento's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Francavilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sorrento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Virtus Francavilla - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Forte F. (G) 40. Accardi A. 5. Monteagudo J. C. 3. De Marino D. 8. Di Marco T. 19. Izzillo N. 21. Risolo A. . Macca F. 7. Biondi K. 90. Giovinco G. 9. Artistico G.	12. Marcone R. (G) 2. Todisco G. 9. Blondett E. 6. Fusco F. 27. Loreto C. 8. Cuccurullo M. 15. De Francesco A. 3. Vitale G. 4. La Monica G. 91. Ravasio M. 7. Scala S.
Substitutes
17. Carella F. 1. Carretta F. (G) 31. Enyan E. 72. Fekete M. 4. Gavazzi F. 80. Latagliata M. 18. Lo Duca L. 12. Lucatelli I. (G) 33. Martina 10. Polidori A. 29. Vapore A. 26. Yakubiv S. 11. Zuppel D.	30. Bonavolonta A. 79. Caravaca T. 19. Colombini L. 22. D'Aniello A. (G) 1. del Sorbo L. (G) 76. Kone S. 10. Martignago R. 29. Messori P. 37. Panelli T. 17. Petito F. 33. Vitiello A.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sorrento is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Virtus Francavilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
08.10.23	Turris - Virtus Francavilla	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Virtus Francavilla - Città di Brindisi	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.23	Virtus Francavilla - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Virtus Francavilla - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
21.09.23	Foggia - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLTWT
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
08.10.23	Sorrento - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Foggia - Sorrento	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.23	Picerno - Sorrento	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Crotone - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
21.09.23	Sorrento - Avellino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTLL

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