The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Verona 21.5%
Draw 26.5%
Atalanta U23 52.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
30.5%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.2%
29.5%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Virtus Verona's form might have worsened.
Atalanta U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atalanta U23's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atalanta U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Virtus Verona - Atalanta U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Sibi S. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 6. Daffara M. 30. Gatti C. 8. Metlika A. 3. Rigo M. 10. Zarpellon L. 32. Rispoli F. 14. De Marchi M.
77. Dajcar M. (G) 13. Comi P. 37. Navarro A. 3. Del Lungo T. 66. Bergonzi F. 8. Gyabuaa M. 21. Manzoni A. 14. Ghislandi D. 7. Muhameti E. 11. Vavassori D. 99. Vlahovic V.
Substitutes
55. Alfonso E. (G) 2. Catena E. M. 75. Cielo T. 9. Contini G. 47. Cuel E. 25. Filippi N. 85. Fiori N. 12. Fortin G. (G) 21. Gomez J. 5. Mehic D. 18. Ojeh P. 17. Oni S. 27. Trovo R.
26. Alessio F. 33. Bernasconi L. 30. Bertini T. (G) 31. Cassa F. 80. Chiwisa M. 72. Cortinovis A. 9. De Nipoti T. 15. Obric R. 10. Panada S. 1. Pardel P. (G) 25. Scheffer M. 39. Sodero A. 2. Tornaghi P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, De Marchi M. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Navarro A. ⚽,
39', Manzoni A. 🟨,
44', Comi P. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Muhameti E. ↓, Panada S. ↑,
46', Manzoni A. ↓, Tornaghi P. ↑,
53', Ghislandi D. 🟨,
56', Ghislandi D. ↓, Bernasconi L. ↑,
57', Vavassori D. ↓, Cassa F. ↑,
80', Zarpellon L. ↓, Mehic D. ↑,
80', Gatti C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
82', Vlahovic V. ↓, Alessio F. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Alessio F. ⚽,
87', Mehic D. 🟨,
87', Daffara M. ↓, Contini G. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Virtus Verona is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atalanta U23 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Atalanta U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Atalanta U23 is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Virtus Verona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Virtus Verona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.