The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pro Patria 24.8%
Draw 29.3%
Mantova 46%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
30%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
30.2%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pro Patria's form might have worsened.
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mantova's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pro Patria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mantova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pro Patria - Mantova Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rovida W. (G) 6. Moretti A. 16. Fietta G. 4. Saporetti L. 20. Renault G. 10. Nicco G. 14. Bertoni L. 31. Mallamo A. 3. Ndrecka A. 30. Castelli D. 7. Stanzani L.
1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 5. Redolfi A. 27. Maggioni T. 23. Panizzi E. 90. Giacomelli S. 8. Burrai S. 28. Muroni M. 14. Galuppini F. 45. Monachello G. 11. Fiori A.
Substitutes
5. Bashi E. 22. Bongini L. 24. Caluschi R. 17. Citterio G. 25. Ferri D. 19. Lombardoni M. 12. Mangano G. (G) 8. Marano F. 21. Minelli A. 9. Parker S. 18. Piran L. 11. Pitou J. 28. Somma M. 2. Vaghi S. 29. Zanaboni E.
6. Bani C. 30. Bragantini D. 13. Brignani F. 16. Cavalli T. 4. Celesia C. 9. Debenedetti A. 20. Fedel G. 7. Mensah D. 22. Napoli A. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 18. Suagher E. 21. Trimboli S. 10. Wieser D.
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 3.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Pro Patria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Pro Patria have a series of guest games.
Mantova will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Pro Patria won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Pro Patria won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.
Italy
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Rovida W. (G) 
Ndrecka A. 
Pitou J. 
Mensah D. 
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