Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 9

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Mantova		Novara

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	4.8
	1.55	4	5.5	Watch
	1.54	3.85	5.36
	1.55	3.84	5.36
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.51	3.84	5.6
	1.57	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)	3.78 ↑ (3.6)	5.33 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
58.9%

Draw
24.1%

Novara
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

25.2%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

24.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Mantova - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 18. Suagher E. 5. Redolfi A. 23. Panizzi E. 28. Muroni M. 8. Burrai S. 21. Trimboli S. 11. Fiori A. 45. Monachello G. 14. Galuppini F.	31. Desjardins A. (G) 32. Caradonna L. 26. Boccia S. 6. Bertoncini D. 30. Migliardi F. 16. Calcagni R. 8. Di Munno A. 3. Urso O. 7. Gerardini F. 27. Rossetti S. 10. Donadio C.
Substitutes
24. Argint G. 6. Bani C. 30. Bragantini D. 13. Brignani F. 25. Castellani A. 16. Cavalli T. 4. Celesia C. 20. Fedel G. 90. Giacomelli S. 7. Mensah D. 22. Napoli A. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.	98. Bagatti N. 5. Bonaccorsi S. 12. Boscolo Palo G. (G) 11. Corti N. 33. D'Orazio L. 25. Gerbino S. 22. Menegaldo T. (G) 4. Prinelli L. 21. Ranieri R. 23. Savini G. 9. Scappini S. 17. Scaringi M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mantova is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Mantova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group A
14.10.23	Pro Patria - Mantova	0:0 ✺
06.10.23	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Mantova - Pro Patria	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Triestina - Mantova	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	Mantova - AlbinoLeffe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLW
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
13.10.23	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Pro Sesto - Novara	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Fiorenzuola - Novara	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
29.09.23	Virtus Verona - Novara	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Novara - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
08.01.23	Novara - Mantova	5:0
10.09.22	Mantova - Novara	1:2
11.04.15	Mantova - Novara	1:2
28.11.14	Novara - Mantova	1:0

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