Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday


	Virtus Verona		Modena

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	2.7
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.8	2.55	2.75
	2.85	2.55	2.65
	3	2.8	2.76
	2.88	2.7	2.75
	2.85	2.81	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.73)	2.69 ↑ (2.66)	2.71 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
32.4%

Draw
33.9%

Modena
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

34%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

25.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Verona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Virtus Verona - Modena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Modena is Qualified for Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs

Virtus Verona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Modena is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Virtus Verona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group B
25.04.21	Fermana - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	Virtus Verona - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
11.04.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Virtus Verona	2:0 ✺
03.04.21	Virtus Verona - Perugia	0:3 ✺
28.03.21	Carpi - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLT
- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
25.04.21	Modena - Legnago Salus	3:0 ✺
18.04.21	Modena - Padova	3:0 ✺
11.04.21	Fano - Modena	0:1 ✺
03.04.21	Modena - Arezzo	3:1 ✺
27.03.21	Fermana - Modena	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
17.01.21	Modena - Virtus Verona	0:1
17.11.19	Modena - Virtus Verona	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.19	Modena - Virtus Verona	2:2

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