The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Verona 34%
Draw 31.3%
Pro Vercelli 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
29.7%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
28.6%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Pro Vercelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Vercelli than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Virtus Verona - Pro Vercelli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Alfonso E. (G) 75. Bassi M. 38. Ingrosso G. 95. Munaretti L. 7. Amadio M. 10. Zarpellon L. 30. Gatti C. 11. Mastour H. 29. Saiani F. 99. Fabbro M. 18. Cernigoi I.
77. Del Favero M. (G) 18. Piran L. 44. Clemente G. 5. Marchetti S. 19. Furno C. 10. Rutigliano M. 14. Iotti I. 8. Burruano A. 7. Mallahi M. 26. Comi G. (C) 11. Sow A.
Substitutes
8. Caia F. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 14. Di Virgilio M. 5. Fanini F. 20. Fiorin G. 74. Lerco S. 4. Lodovici R. 39. Mancini T. 90. Odogwu C. 97. Ojeh P. 44. Pagliuca M. 12. Scardigno N. (G) 36. Sebastiani G. 22. Sibi S. (G)
92. Akpa Akpro J. 28. Carosso A. 3. Coccolo L. 9. Coppola G. 29. Pino E. 91. Regonesi I. 16. Ronchi N. 33. Rosin D. 21. Sow O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Cernigoi I. ⚽,
23', Bassi M. 🟨,
41', Sow A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Iotti I. ⚽,
56', Sow A. ↓, Akpa Akpro J. ↑,
56', Rutigliano M. ↓, Pino E. ↑,
58', Mastour H. ↓, Fiorin G. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Iotti I. ⚽,
80', Zarpellon L. ↓, Fanini F. ↑,
80', Fabbro M. ↓, Pagliuca M. ↑,
80', Saiani F. ↓, Lerco S. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Pagliuca M. ⚽,
84', Pagliuca M. 🟨,
85', Ingrosso G. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
89', Furno C. ↓, Carosso A. ↑,
90', Mallahi M. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 1.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Verona won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Pro Vercelli
9
2
3
4
8:13
-5
9
Last Results with these Odds
Virtus Verona - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Pro Vercelli - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.5%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.