Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Referee: Gallorini J. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max


	Vis Pesaro		Guidonia Montecelio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.30	3.10	1.98
	3.05	3.00	2.10	Watch
	3.82	3.35	2.10
	3.56	3.12	2.06	Watch
	3.75	3.00	2.07
	3.50	3.28	1.93	Watch
	3.45	3.20	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.35)	3.15 ↓ (3.26)	2.04 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
26.2%

Draw
29%

Guidonia Montecelio
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

28.2%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

27.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Vis Pesaro - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gomis A. (G) 2. Conti N. 45. Giorgini P. 5. Tonucci D. 33. Pompilio F. 55. Mariani E. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 7. Pucciarelli M. 47. Konate A. 9. Nicastro F. 30. Maucci G.	25. Drago G. (G) 33. Borghini D. 2. Esempio S. (C) 38. Frascatore P. 77. Zappella D. 14. Santoro S. 4. Celeghin E. 20. Giannotti P. 8. Errico A. 18. D'Urso C. 30. Ferrari F.
Substitutes
36. Bailo G. 23. Beghetto L. 24. Berengo N. 78. Carnaroli A. 79. Ebano S. 80. Gambino G. 31. Genovese N. 16. Guarnone A. (G) 90. Lari N. 22. Mariani M. (G) 4. Nina C. 1. Piersanti M. (G) 27. Sculli F. 6. Tomassini A. 21. Vaccaro C.	26. Baroni R. 73. Falleni A. 3. Malomo A. 5. Mastrantonio V. 23. Murgia A. 22. Ramogida T. (G) 7. Sannipoli D. 10. Spavone A. 96. Stellato G. (G) 17. Tascone S. 21. Tonetto M. 11. Viteritti O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', Pompilio F. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Tonucci D. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Konate A. ⚽, Maucci G. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Borghini D. ⚽, Santoro S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pompilio F. ↓, Bailo G. ↑,
59', Santoro S. ↓, Tascone S. ↑,
59', Errico A. ↓, Tonetto M. ↑,
62', Di Paola M. ↓, Gambino G. ↑,
68', D'Urso C. ↓, Spavone A. ↑,
68', Giannotti P. ↓, Mastrantonio V. ↑,
68', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Berengo N. ↑,
72', Tonucci D. ↓, Ebano S. ↑,
79', Celeghin E. ↓, Murgia A. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 8th in the Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Vis Pesaro has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Guidonia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Guidonia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guidonia holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Guidonia in today's match, at odds of 2.05.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vis Pesaro has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vis Pesaro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Guidonia	8	3	3	2	10:7	3	12
20	Vis Pesaro	7	1	1	5	8:16	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
21.09.26	Spezia - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Reggiana	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Ostia Mare	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
21.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Livorno	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Latina - Guidonia Montecelio	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Pianese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Latina	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTW?

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.03.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Vis Pesaro	0:0
15.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1

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