Match Info

JAPAN: J1 League - Round 35

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
China	K-Ball, QQ Sports
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Vissel Kobe		Júbilo Iwata

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	8.5	Watch
	1.34	5	8.5
	1.32	4.93	8.34	Watch
	1.35	5.28	9.19
	1.35	5.11	8.95	Watch
	1.29	4.8	8.5
	1.35	5.13	8.95	Watch
	1.33	5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)	5.03 ↓ (5.11)	8.68 ↑ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
70.5%

Draw
18.7%

Júbilo Iwata
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

18.3%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

17.5%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Vissel Kobe - Júbilo Iwata Predictions

Users Predictions: Vissel Kobe will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. 3. Thuler 15. Honda Y. 6. Ogihara T. 7. Ideguchi Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 11. Muto Y. 10. Osako Y. 23. Hirose R.	1. Kawashima E. (G) 32. Hilo H. 6. Ito M. 36. Ricardo Graca 26. Nishikubo S. 50. Uemura H. 25. Nakamura S. 4. Matsubara K. 23. Croux J. 18. Takahata K. 11. Germain R.
Substitutes
21. Arai S. (G) 19. Hatsuse R. 55. Iwanami T. 81. Kikuchi R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 26. Patric J. 22. Sasaki D.	2. Kawasaki I. 99. Matheus Peixoto 24. Sugimoto M. (G) 15. Suzuki K. 7. Uehara R. 55. Watanabe R. 10. Yamada H.
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Yokouchi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Ricardo Graca 🟨,
38', Hirose R. ↓, Sasaki D. ↑,
45+3', Nakamura S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Osako Y. (A),
48', Nishikubo S. 🟨,
53', 2 - 0, Yamakawa T. ⚽, Ogihara T. (A),
57', Takahata K. ↓, Watanabe R. ↑,
57', Croux J. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
61', Hilo H. 🟨,
65', Nakamura S. ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
78', Uemura H. ↓, Uehara R. ↑,
78', Nishikubo S. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
80', Miyashiro T. ↓, Patric J. ↑,
80', Sakai G. ↓, Kuwasaki Y. ↑,
90+1', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Kikuchi R. ↑,
90+1', Muto Y. ↓, Hatsuse R. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vissel Kobe won 4.

Vissel Kobe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Iwata is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vissel Kobe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vissel Kobe is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Saito M. (Knee Injury) Yamaguchi H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Iwata: Morioka R. (Foot Injury)

Our prediction for today's Vissel Kobe to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Vissel Kobe won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:14 (average 2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Vissel Kobe won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:7 (average 2.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan Emperors Cup
27.10.24	Vissel Kobe - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
23.10.24	Ulsan HD - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
18.10.24	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
02.10.24	Vissel Kobe - Shandong Taishan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Júbilo Iwata
Japan J1 League
19.10.24	Cerezo Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Júbilo Iwata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Nagoya Grampus - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Júbilo Iwata - Avispa Fukuoka	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Júbilo Iwata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
23.02.24	Júbilo Iwata - Vissel Kobe	0:2
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Vissel Kobe - Júbilo Iwata	5:2
Japan J1 League
09.07.22	Júbilo Iwata - Vissel Kobe	0:1
25.05.22	Vissel Kobe - Júbilo Iwata	0:0
07.12.19	Vissel Kobe - Júbilo Iwata	4:1
01.06.19	Júbilo Iwata - Vissel Kobe	1:1
11.08.18	Vissel Kobe - Júbilo Iwata	2:1

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