Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 3

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium (Ulsan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Sports18 3, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
United-kingdom	Sport 24 International
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball app, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Ulsan HD		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.25	2
	3.4	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.91	3.31	2.06
	3.8	3.38	2.04	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.58	3.52	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.42)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.04 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulsan HD
26%

Draw
28.1%

Vissel Kobe
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

26.6%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulsan HD's form might have worsened.

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vissel Kobe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ulsan HD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	10.5%	63.2%

Ulsan HD - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 73. Yun Il-Lok 5. Lim Jong-Eun 20. Hwang Seok-Ho (C) 2. Sim Sang-Min 32. Jung Woo-Young 9. Arabidze G. 31. Esaka A. 8. Lee Gyu-Seong 28. Jang See-Young 99. Yago Caju	1. Maekawa D. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler 15. Honda Y. 7. Ideguchi Y. 6. Ogihara T. 9. Miyashiro T. 11. Muto Y. 10. Osako Y. 26. Patric J.
Substitutes
18. Joo Min-Kyu 1. Jo Su-Huk (G) 33. Kang Min-Woo 4. Kim Kee-Hee 26. Kim Min-Jun 10. Kim Min-Woo 19. Kim Young-Gwon 7. Ko Seung-Beom 27. Lee Chung-Yong 13. Lee Myung-Jae 17. Ludwigson G. 95. Matheus Sales	21. Arai S. (G) 19. Hatsuse R. 23. Hirose R. 2. Iino N. 55. Iwanami T. 81. Kikuchi R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 88. Morioka R. 50. Obi P. O. (G) 22. Sasaki D. 30. Yamauchi K. 14. Yuruki K.
Coaches
Kim P.	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Thuler 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Miyashiro T. ⚽,
57', Jang See-Young ↓, Ludwigson G. ↑,
66', Yago Caju ↓, Joo Min-Kyu ↑,
66', Arabidze G. ↓, Ko Seung-Beom ↑,
70', Patric J. ↓, Yuruki K. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Miyashiro T. ⚽, Muto Y. (A),
76', Osako Y. ↓, Sasaki D. ↑,
76', Jung Woo-Young ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
76', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Lee Myung-Jae ↑,
84', Ogihara T. ↓, Kuwasaki Y. ↑,
84', Miyashiro T. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
85', Lee Myung-Jae 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Ulsan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vissel Kobe is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Ulsan have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ulsan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Including matches at home between the teams Ulsan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulsan HD
South Korean K-League 1
19.10.24	Gimcheon Sangmu - Ulsan HD	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Ulsan HD - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
02.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Ulsan HD	4:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
27.09.24	Daejeon Citizen - Ulsan HD	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Incheon United - Ulsan HD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLWT
- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
18.10.24	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
02.10.24	Vissel Kobe - Shandong Taishan	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
28.09.24	Vissel Kobe - Urawa Red Diamonds	1:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
25.09.24	Kashima Antlers - Vissel Kobe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
13.12.20	Ulsan HD - Vissel Kobe	2:1 ET

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