Match Info
BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 3Date: 11 February 2025, TuesdayLocation: Barradao (Salvador)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Brazil | Premiere |
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 |
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Vitória Salvador |
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Ferroviário Fortaleza |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.27 |
5.25 |
8 |
|
 |
1.22 |
5.4 |
11 |
|
 |
1.19 |
5.94 |
18.62 |
|
 |
1.22 |
5.32 |
11.95 |
 Watch |
 |
1.25 |
5 |
11 |
|
 |
1.3 |
5.55 |
8.45 |
Watch |
 |
1.22 |
5.4 |
11 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.37) |
5.41 ↑
(4.37) |
11.43 ↑
(7.7) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vitória Salvador
74.8% | Draw
17.1% | Ferroviário Fortaleza
8.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória Salvador's performance.Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+3%)Vitória Salvador - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Ferroviário will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Lucas Arcanjo (G)
44. Baralhas
27.  Caceres R.
6. Hugo
39. Janderson
22. Lucas Braga
30. Matheuzinho
77. Neris
8. Ronald Lopes
4. Wagner Leonardo (C)
10. Wellington Rato
| 29. Joao Soares (G)
11. Allanzinho
6. Carlos Junio
99. Ciel (C)
8. Gharib
23. Iago Reis
3. Jeffao
13. Lucas Ramires
19. Matheus Xavier
2. Rikelmy
17.  Rivas K.
|
| Substitutes |
37. Bruno Xavier
99. Carlinhos
2. Claudinho
14. Dionisio
43. Edu
23. Fabricio
21. Gabriel (G)
7. Gustavo Mosquito
83. Jamerson
5. Lucas Halter
11. Osvaldo
97. Val Soares
| 21. Gustavo Barbosa
10. Janeudo
22. Kaue Leonardo
26. Rosa B.
1. Sivaldo Junior (G)
15. Wesley Junio
18. Willyam Maranhao
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Janderson 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Baralhas ⚽,
- 45+1', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
- 45+5', Rivas K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Rivas K. ↓, Willyam Maranhao ↑,
- 46', Matheuzinho ↓, Val Soares ↑,
- 46', Janderson ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
- 46', Ronald Lopes ↓, Fabricio ↑,
- 54', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
- 59', Wellington Rato 🟨,
- 66', Matheus Xavier ↓, Rosa B. ↑,
- 66', Gharib ↓, Janeudo ↑,
- 67', Janeudo 🟨,
- 68', Baralhas 🟨,
- 70', Lucas Braga ↓, Gustavo Mosquito ↑,
- 71', 2 - 0, Gustavo Mosquito ⚽,
- 75', Carlos Junio ↓, Kaue Leonardo ↑,
- 76', Iago Reis ↓, Wesley Junio ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Allanzinho ⚽,
- 81', Wellington Rato ↓, Dionisio ↑,
- 90+3', Lucas Ramires 🟨,
Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6). Vitória in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Recent matches Ferroviário is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Ferroviário could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Vitória is certain favorite. Our prediction for today's Vitória to win the game is with odds 1.33.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7). Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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