Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 5

Date: 6 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)


	Vitória Salvador		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
	1.26	5	10.5
	1.22	5	12	Watch
	1.25	5.27	12.63
	1.25	5.27	12.63
	1.2	5	13
	1.21	5.35	12.5	Watch
	1.25	4.9	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.3)	5.11 ↑ (4.5)	12.04 ↑ (9.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
74.4%

Draw
18%

Itabaiana
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

20.3%

9.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

19.3%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Vitória Salvador - Itabaiana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Itabaiana will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muriel (G) 9. Alerrandro 13. Camutanga 7. Mateus Goncalves 10. Matheuzinho 11. Osvaldo 14. Patric Calmon 8. Rodrigo Andrade 21. Rodrigues E. 4. Wagner Leonardo 2. Zeca (C)	12. Jefferson (G) 25. da Conceicao Araujo C. 14. Douglas Dias 3. Gabriel Caran 22. Kauan 10. Marcelinho 11. Matheus (C) 13. Pedro Silva 4. Rony Fernandes 6. Thiago Papel 18. Tiago Souza
Substitutes
22. Caceres R. 19. Caio Dantas 18. Caio Vinicius 23. Castillo E. 16. Daniel Junior 15. Joao Victor 20. Luan 6. Lucas Esteves . Maycon (G) 5. Willian Oliveira 3. Zapata C. 17. Ze Hugo	16. Canutama Edinho 2. Chiquinho Alagoano 5. Duda 23. Elivelton 7. Leo Carvalho 15. Matheus Prado 24. Montanhas (G) 19. Schutz 8. Vitao

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 7).

Vitória is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Itabaiana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitória could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vitória is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
03.03.24	Itabuna - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
25.02.24	Vitória Salvador - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.02.24	Vitória Salvador - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.02.24	Vitória Salvador - Bahia	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.24	Juazeirense - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWL
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
03.03.24	Confiança - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.24	Ríver PI - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.02.24	Itabaiana - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
18.02.24	Itabaiana - Falcon	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.24	Itabaiana - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
19.10.21	Vitória Salvador - Itabaiana	3:0

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