The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitória Salvador 68%
Draw 21.4%
Jacuipense 10.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.8%
19.9%
11.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.3%
18.6%
12.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Vitória Salvador - Jacuipense Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Jacuipense will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 44. Baralhas 95. Caique Goncalves 4. Camutanga 43. Edu 6. Emmanuel Martinez 33. Erick 98. Matheusinho 10. Matheuzinho 13. Ramon 79. Renato Kayzer
1. Marcelo (G) 22. Hugo Moura 19. Pedro Henrique 3. Railon 6. Ruan 5. Talisca 14. Thiago 21. Thiaguinho 8. Vinicius Amaral 4. Weverton 7. William
Substitutes
17. Cantalapiedra A. 59. de Jesus Soares G. 26. Edenilson 23. Fabricio 22. Gabriel (G) 83. Jamerson 20. Kevin 7. Marinho 77. Neris 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 8. Ronald Lopes
9. Adriano 20. Alison Daniel 13. Daniel Costa 16. David Santana 11. Flavinho 15. Gabriel Pereira 10. Geovani 23. Italo Pezao (G) 17. Pereira G. 25. Sidney Freitas 2. Vicente 18. Vicente
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Renato Kayzer ⚽,
16', Caique Goncalves 🟥,
27', Talisca 🟨,
27', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
45+6', Lucas Arcanjo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Matheusinho ↓, Edenilson ↑,
46', Talisca ↓, Alison Daniel ↑,
62', Matheuzinho ↓, Jamerson ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Pedro Henrique ⚽,
67', William ↓, Flavinho ↑,
67', Ruan ↓, Vicente ↑,
72', Vinicius Amaral 🟨,
76', Hugo Moura 🟨,
76', Ramon ↓, Cantalapiedra A. ↑,
76', Erick ↓, Marinho ↑,
78', Vinicius Amaral ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
90', Pedro Henrique ↓, Sidney Freitas ↑,
90+3', Edu ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Thiaguinho (Penalty Awarded),
1, Renato Kayzer (Penalty Awarded),
2, Alison Daniel (Penalty Awarded),
2, Osvaldo (Penalty Awarded),
3, Vicente (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cantalapiedra A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Flavinho (Penalty Awarded),
4, Marinho (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2.
Vitória has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jacuipense is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vitória may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Vitória is the clear favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 0.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
Watch
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Lucas Arcanjo (G) 
Emmanuel Martinez 
Cantalapiedra A. 
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