Match Info

Baiano - Round 9

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)


	Vitória Salvador		Galícia

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.5	14
	1.23	5.3	11
	1.27	4.75	10.47	Watch
	1.25	4.6	11
	1.22	4.9	12.9
	1.3	4.4	9.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)	5.08 ↑ (4.6)	11.49 ↑ (8.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
74%

Draw
18%

Galícia
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.9%

20.1%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

19%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória Salvador's performance.

Galícia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galícia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Vitória Salvador - Galícia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Vitória (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 44. Baralhas (C) 4. Camutanga 17. Cantalapiedra A. 26. Edenilson 6. Emmanuel Martinez 33. Erick 98. Matheusinho 10. Matheuzinho 11. Osvaldo 13. Ramon	1. Rafael Puridade (G) 2. Alex 7. Da Ilha 5. Gabriel Vieira 9. Ivisson 6. Lucas Araujo 3. Luiz Bahia 8. Mayron 10. Rafael Mineiro (C) 11. Tiaguinho 4. William
Substitutes
95. Caique Goncalves 23. Fabricio 22. Gabriel (G) 83. Jamerson 20. Lucas Silva 64. Luis Miguel 7. Marinho 77. Neris 62. Pablo 8. Ronald Lopes 41. Wendell Santos 55. Ze Breno	14. Angelo 21. Augusto Sheik 17. Carlos Augusto 30. Gledson 19. Gustavo Araujo 12. Henrique (G) 16. Hugo 31. Igor 20. Popo 22. Sander 13. Thiago 18. Valter

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Rafael Puridade 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Erick ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Cantalapiedra A. ⚽,
51', 3 - 0, Matheuzinho ⚽,
68', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
76', William 🟨,
78', Marinho (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Galícia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vitória is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.02.26	Vitória Salvador - Bahia de Feira	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.02.26	Vitória Salvador - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
07.02.26	Jequié - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.02.26	Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador	5:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.02.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTLW
- Galícia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
11.02.26	Galícia - Jequié	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Porto SC - Galícia	1:0 ✺
03.02.26	Galícia - Bahia de Feira	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Galícia - Atlético de Alagoinhas	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Jacuipense - Galícia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
02.03.17	Galícia - Vitória Salvador	0:1
25.02.15	Galícia - Vitória Salvador	0:0

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